Gulfstream Park Analysis for 12/28/17 by @1MinuteToPost

Gulfstream Park 12-28-17 Analysis by @1MinuteToPost

Race 1.
It appears that there will be a lot of speed in this race with a few runners having lots of experience at GP. This will be the test for Florida Fabulous coming off winning 2 races at 1M at Gulfstream then jumping up to Graded Stakes company and running poorly. Fawkes returns her six months later where she faces older foes in an N2X allowance optional claiming race.

A major threat in this race could be 4, Duchess of Duke who comes out of G1 Spinster where she led then faded on the sloppy track. The question is how will she run on the main track having only experience on synthetic and turf. I think 2,3 & 5 will run with Duchess of Duke and keep the pace very honest for Florida Fabulous who breaks from the outside post.

I’m interested in 1 Shar Ran who is lightly raced and stretching out to 7F. The race could set up nicely for her to come from behind. The odds should be attractive and I’ll look to play some exactas and trifectas using Shar Ran. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 2.

This race is looking like a pass or an ALL on multi race wagers.
Dudicious- Will be a price but I wouldn’t throw out, just broke maiden and may be feeling fine!
Fancy Kitten- Spotty races since summer, has back class and GP races and experience that make her competitive. I wouldn’t take too short a price.
Extravagant Baby- Positive jock change, improving speed figures, not out of the question, I would need 9-1 or higher to use.
Sun of Tara- Her maiden win jumps off page, maybe she didn’t like GPW? She returns, drops and could be ready for a big run.
Ms. Violette- An outsider that will only set the pace in my opinion. Would use in exactas and trifectas.
Bills Legacy- I doubt she will repeat last performance. She will probably need to improve from last to Win this and I don’t see that happening.
Passionate Girl- She could turn out to be a great claim. Positive jock change, returns to GP, can get in the mix or more, trainer looking for first win.
Little IrishDancer- Moving down the ladder, gets back on turn, doesn’t seem to have an aggressive closing style. Get positive jock change but I wouldn’t bet at less than 15-1
Divine Caroline- This lightly raced filly gets super-jock and will look to go wire to wire from the outside. May become the favorite so final odds will determine how I use this runner (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 3.
I’ll most likely pass on this race and just use 2,5,6 in multi race wagers.

Race 4.
This one seems tough to figure who will be the favorite by post time. I’m using 1,5,6 and will also use 4 a little bit as a hedge. 1 is a true miler, 5 has experience at GP, 6 is my least favorite of the top three choices but I want to use because of the back experience, trainer and that July 30th race where he ran very well here. (although a negative is how cold Lezcano has been recently). 4 is a big question but I hate getting beat by horses like this so I’ll figure out how to hedge my bets with an exacta or double with 4. At this point I’m saying to myself that I’ll let 2,5 & 9 beat me. I may use them defensively in my wagers depending on final odds.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 5.
A race I will pass on. Too many possibilities. An “All” for the Rainbow Pick Six ticket

Race 6.
Little Queen – A long shot for sure. Her maiden Win is the only reason to use her at 50-1
Trajecly Hipp- New trainer, new jock, new track, just broke maiden, not completely out of it but wouldn’t use at less that 8-1.
Bullet TheBlue Sky – Also new trainer, new jock, new track and looks like she has a closing kick. Gets back to maiden win surface. I’d also use her if the price was right 5-1 or higher.
Feed Me Carrots- I’ll let this horse beat me. She’ll take money from the drop and the connections but I’ll let her beat me. I’m not interested in this runner.
Degrees of Freedom – I have a feeling she will outrun her odds. Probably not the winner but I will use in exactas and trifectas.
Double Cabernet – I just don’t see this one stepping up to win but, I could talk myself into using her defensively in exactas for coverage.
Search For Sammy – Almost identical pattern as Double Cabernet but would only use underneath in exactas and trifectas.
Rain In Spain- Lots of turf experience, drops, I’m not thrilled with connections, right now an underlay in my opinion. Will try and beat her.
Just Sassy- An outsider I will only use on the bottom of exactas and trifectas.
Court Central- outside Post, positive jock change, second race off the lay-off. I’m not thrilled about the 0 for 14 trainer but I’ll include this runner in my wagers.

I think the public will over bet the 4 & 8 and a big price will win this race. That is most likely how I’m playing this race. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 7.
This race may be a pass for me as I see I can make a case for many runners including 1,2,5,11 and the main threats 4,6,9,10. Will most likely pass this race.

Race 8.
This race also looks like a complete scramble and almost every entry has won or placed in their last 3-5 starts. When your dropping to $6k claiming, horses become unreliable and I’m not willing to risk my money here.

Race 9.
A wide open turf sprint where I will use 5 and 10 as my key runners. I’ll play exactas and doubles with 5 & 10. I like that 5 has won or placed on four different tracks since the summer and gets the top jock for this ride. 5 also looks to come off the pace which appears there will be plenty in here. My other choice has had some time off and may be fresh from the outside post while cutting back to 5f from 7.5f. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 10.
In the finale the top picks are 2,5,10. Depending on scratches and odds I will use these entrants along with 3,6,7,8,9,11,12 in exactas and trifectas. It’s hard for me to say who I like the most because the post time odds will tell me more. I can tell you if 2 is the heavy favorite I will try and beat 2. I always give runners second chances and there are many in here who can take a step forward today. I’d rather spread my money on those runners.

3 is a first time starter and who knows how far he’ll run. 5 can get brave and run gate to wire maybe. 6 can improve on his second turf try along with 8 and 9. Who knows what 10 will do on the big drop into claiming ranks.

(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)