Gulfstream Park Analysis for 12/29/17 by @1MinuteToPost
Gulfstream Park 12-29-17 Analysis by @1MinueToPost
Race 1.
In this 1 Mile Claiming Race I’m going to look closer at 2 and 6 as my key horses. 2 TIRABOSCHI has been off, switches to turf today, gets lasix and may even wind up with Jose Ortiz tomorrow (Rosario was off mounts today and Jose Ortiz picked them up). He has a chance to run a long way coming from a great barn. STAY ON BASE, the 2yo son of Stay Thirsty deserves another chances after running well in his debut. Zayas stays aboard and he may be an early pace leader. 3,7,8 could be good prices to use in exotics. I’m not thrilled about HEY HOWIE and GIO LEMON, but it’s possible I will use them as hedges in exacta boxes or trifectas. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 2.
This is looking like a pass to me. Three or four of the runners have very similar past performances which make it a tough guess as to who will run better today.
INMYFATHERSIMAGE -Looks like an outsider
CHARLIE ATLAS – Has some speed and has a chance but may need softer group. I would include in exotics.
CRAZY FRANK C- Drops, gets top jock and may need some pace to close into. Don’t buy in on too short a price.
PEAK PERFORMANCE – Drops, off layoff, has some good races from Monmouth over the summer. I wish he picked up a more winning jockey. I’d need 10-1 or more to use on top.
COXSWAIN – Likes Gulfstream having won four races this year sprinting. I wouldn’t take too short a price on him though.
MR. KISSES – I’ve noticed Navarro has been dropping horses and not winning. This one takes a big drop and the two races from Monmouth jump off the page. He has good races at Gulfstream too but I feel this could be one to bet against. I’ll see what the tote board says. Also, Jaramillo fell off his mount at the wire yesterday (costing someone over $500k in the rainbow pick six) and he may not be aboard this one today. Look for the changes to see if he’s riding tomorrow.
BE A HERO -Is doubling in claiming price and only wins one way, on the lead. Look for Tyler Gaffalione to send this one and see how long he lasts. Let’s see what is odds are tomorrow at Post time.
Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 3.
I’ll most likely pass on this race and just use 2,3,4,5 in multi race wagers.
Race 4.
After looking at the past performances a few times it looks to me like the New York runner 7 HOPE’S ROAR has some back class facing tougher competition in New York. I’ll look to use 7 in exactas and trifectas. 2,6, & 10 would be some others I would use for hedging and in multi race tickets but it’s hard to see 7 running worse than second.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 5.
A race I will pass on. Too many possibilities. An “All” for the Rainbow Pick Six ticket
Race 6.
This looks like a terrible bunch of past performances. It’s hard to be convinced to back runners like CAPTAIN KITT and DINO DUDE. The Kathleen O’Connell horse 5 ADMIRLAS COVE is dropping enough where he should have an impact on this field. I’m interested in a few lightly raced horses on the outside including 8 BIG FRIDGE, 11 GERMAN ALBERTO and 12 CHIEF WHITE SOX. I’ll look to make some exactas and trifectas with 8,11,12 and use 1,2,5 in the mix.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 7.
This race will likely be a pass for me as there are too many unknowns.
Race 8.
It looks like there are a few different choices if you want to try and beat SLAIMY.
HYATTS DUDE – Second start off layoff, gets inside post and could be part of early pace. 10-1 odds would be generous and I would bet with both hands if I get 10-1 on this one.
SHOOTIST – Probably an outsider based on his three turf tries.
HOPE IS RISING – It’s hard for me to put this one on top but I will definitely be using on the bottom as he has been second or third many times at Gulfstream Park.
STREET CODE – This 400k purchase steps up off maiden win at GPW. Has to prove himself today and I’m not using unless I get 7-1 or more.
JUST THE FACTS – Runs and fades, gets third different jock, could win but I’m not buying.
SOUTHERN CAL – His figures put him a notch under this group. Would be a surprise at a big price.
ALTRUISM – If you don’t win an 8k race at GPW, I’m not backing you at 16k at GP. No thank you.
ONE OF A KIND – Drops again in class and gets back on turf, doesn’t have a closing kick but certainly not out of the question. I’ll wait and see what the tote board says about this one.
LEROIS GEM – Looks like an outsider with poor recent speed figures.
SANDILIPO – Off since summer, would need the very best to win but the price should be generous.
SLAIMY – Not happy about the race at GPW Off the layoff but is certainly the one to beat.
ARPINELLA – Drops in class and can certainly be a part of the exotics tickets.
I’ll look to use 1,5,11 and depending on final odds, I’ll make some exacta and double wagers. I would be sure to include 2,3,6,8,10,12 in exactas.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 9.
A wide open Maiden Race in which I’ll most likely pass on wagering. I wouldn’t rely solely on EMPIRICALLY.
Race 10.
This looks very tough in which 1,2,3,6,7 look like main contenders. 4,5,8 are outsiders and would be huge prices if they win. I like 9,10,11 to get in the mix. This could be a pass race but I’ll see what the odds look like closer to post time.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)
Race 11.
A First time starter could easily win this. It’s a pass for me. If your playing the rainbow pick six, I would include all.
