Aqueduct Analysis for 12/28/17 by @1MinuteToPost

Aqueduct 12-28-17 Analysis by @1MinuteToPost

Race 1.
Thirstforthecup will be the heavy favorite dropping from the sky to 25k and we’ll see if she’s ready to win.
Baronet will probably try and come out running but I’m not betting on her to Win. I will use underneath.
Hold Me Down is off the claim, moves back up and stretches out again. She will need to run a very good race and may just be apart of the pace.
Flick of an Eye has a good chance to win gate to wire. She’s had some time off, good recent works, and runs consistent at this level. Could be a very good key horse.
Spring for More drops in class and could potentially upset this field if she gets enough pace. My knock is that CC Lopez is a great speed rider and may find it too difficult to get her up in time.

I’ll probably look into using 4 as a key runner and make some exactas and trifectas. I may look to use 2 and or 5 in Doubles as hedges. If 1is ready to run though, this race may already be over. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 2.
I think 7 is the key horse to use and find it hard to say anything about the others as there is a lot unknown. I never ever bet Maiden Claiming to Maiden Special Weight so I won’t be using 8 on top. In a race like this I would use 7 to key in on. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 3.
There are a lot of ugly past performance running lines in here. If 7 is ready and runs to the odds of what she goes off at, she wins. However this is racing and it doesn’t always go as planned. I would use 3,4,5,6 in exactas and trifectas and multi race tickets incase 7 is a dud. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 4.
It looks like a lot of speed signed on here so the question I have is: Will BOBBYONFLEEK run well on 7 Days rest jumping up in class to be the horse that connections hoped he would be? This isn’t a Stakes race, but he doubles in price in 7 days. CURTIS has a lot of speed. What will Paco do from Post 1? He faded last out at Parx and has never run at Aqueduct. He gets some relief dropping from Allowance races and could run routes consistently last year. In nine races this year BLUEBELT has been dropping and dropping and hasn’t improved. He’s had some time off, looks to have good workouts and now is presented for 50k in open company in a tougher spot. I’m not thrilled. PROFESSOR SNAP is being pushed up ambitiously off the claim and just may prove to be a tough competitor. This three year old son of Stay Thirsty must be used in my opinion. I’ll let 4 OUTRAGEOUSBET beat me. MACHOMIAH must be used in exotic bets but I probably won’t be using him on top. He picks up weight and would need a pace collapse to win. I’ll probably use 1,3 and try and beat 5 but I’ll wait until post time too see what the tote board tells me to do. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 5.
This looks like a tough one to figure out and I’ll save my money by passing.

Race 6.
This looks like another tough race to figure out. There’s a lot of speed. I’m interested in using 2 OLD DUBAI who is lightly raced and could sit a nice trip with a positive jockey change to Carmouche who is good at weaving in and out of traffic. I think 3,4,6 will set the pace and Alvarado will look to make one run on POLAR JET. A big question will be on TOMMY T. Is he ready to Win right back? To me the value will be on OLD DUBAI. The key horses in my opinion are 5 and 7 but both are questionable. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 7.
I’m looking to use 1 and 6 as key horses and may use 9 a little bit too. Final odds will determine how I construct my wagers for this race. (Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)

Race 8.
1. BEACH ACCESS- Improved on the class hike, drops back down and stretches out. Has to be 8-1 or more for me to use
2. BIG THICKET – Off the claim for L. Rice, stretches out. I wouldn’t take too short of a price.
3. IM NOT FUNNY – Probably just an outsider
4. VICARS LEGEND – Improved last out on “good” track, stretches out, will be a price
5. THREE GOALS – More aggressive jock named, should be closer to the lead and see how far he can go on the stretch out. Could be a key horse.
6. PLATINUM NUGGET – Another L.Rice runner that deserves a second chance. Would use in exotics.
7. THISCATCANFLY – Lots of positives here, hot trainer, Turf to Dirt, second off layoff. Could be another key horse to use.
8. CAMTTAKEITANYMORE – Unlike other Michelle Nevin runner this one has already dropped to 50k and faded a bit at the end. I prefer 7 over this runner.
9. DEBAUCHERY – Needs a big improvement, gets blinkers and jock change. I’d use in exotics.

Most likely I’ll use 5 and 7 as my key horses and play some exactas and trifectas.
(Subscribers will get the final wagers I make sent to their cell phone about 5 minutes before this race is run)